As Republicans rally in Cleveland and Democrats prepare for their Philadelphia convention, Hillary Clinton seems to have her adopted home state votes safely locked up. Driven by a 3-1 lead in New York City, Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump 47-35 percent among all New York State voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
Both candidates have negative favorability ratings, 41-52 percent for Clinton and 32-61 percent for Trump, the poll found.
Clinton leads among all age groups, especially among voters 18 to 34 years old, who go Democratic 53-18 percent. There also is a big gender gap. Women are solidly for the first woman nominee of a major party 54-28 percent, with men tipping to Trump 44-40 percent.
New York City voters back Clinton 63-20 percent, while upstate voters go to Trump 48-36 percent. Suburban voters are divided, with 40 percent for Trump and 39 percent for Clinton.
Both candidates suffer from lower levels of same-party support than winning candidates normally receive, as Clinton leads 82-10 percent among Democrats, while Trump takes Republicans 76-9 percent. Independent voters back Clinton 41-35 percent.
With third-party candidates in the race, Clinton gets 45 percent, with Trump at 33 percent, Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson at 6 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 4 percent.
Donald Trump's selection of Indiana Gov. Mike Pence as his running mate was a good choice, according to New York State voters at 43-21 percent, but 59 percent of voters do not know enough about Pence to form an opinion of him.
In New York State's U.S. Senate race, Democratic incumbent Sen. Charles Schumer leads Republican challenger Wendy Long 60-28 percent. Schumer is ahead among every gender, age and regional group listed and among Democrats and independent voters, while Long has a lackluster 62-24 percent lead among Republicans.
New York State voters approve 62-29 percent of the job Schumer is doing and give him a 57-25 percent favorability rating. For Long, 74 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion of her.
Voters also approve 56-22 percent of the job Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand is doing.
When it comes to the Commander in Chief, New York State voters approve 56-40 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, his best score in more than three years. Approval is 70-25 percent in New York City and 52-46 percent in the suburbs, while upstate voters disapprove 52-45 percent.
The poll was conducted July 13-17 with 1,104 New York State voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points, live interviewers calling land lines and cell phones.